The Philadelphia Phillies are heading south to face off against their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 7:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Southeast will be televising the action.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+140) as the underdog to Atlanta (-150). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-155) and Braves -1.5 runs (+135).
The Phillies have gone 78-73 SU this year and are 69-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.8 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 84-68 SU and 76-74 ATS. They’ve gained 16.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.8 units ATS.
Braves games have an over/under record of 72-72-6 in 2018. The Phillies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-76-6.
Right-hander Vince Velasquez is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez (9-11, 4.50 ERA) has recorded 156 strikeouts in 140 innings so far. He’s 0-4 with 24 strikeouts and a 7.41 ERA against Atlanta this year (four starts).
The Braves are preparing to start righty Kevin Gausman (10-10, 3.92 ERA), who has 135 strikeouts and 45 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Gausman is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.93, along with a K-per-9 of 9.14.
The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.318/.398 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .254/.357/.360 with 13 home runs, 54 RBIs, 86 runs and 19 stolen bases. Herrera has a .256 average with 22 homers, 67 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.57, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 66 games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.94.
The Atlanta hitters have produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .206/.299/.352 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ hitters this year. Freeman is hitting .311/.390/.509 with 23 home runs, 92 RBIs and 92 runs scored, while the line for Markakis stands at .304/.369/.454 with 14 homers, 92 RBIs and 77 runs.
The Phillies have lost 5.8 units and are 52-61 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 19.1 units and are 58-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 52 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
Philadelphia fielders have eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
The Phillies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 11 over their last 10.
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