The Philadelphia Phillies will make a road trip to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox. New England Sports Network is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Philadelphia (+135) is entering this game as the underdog against Boston (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-160) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+140).
The Phillies are 58-46 SU and have gone 48-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 17.2 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 73-33 SU and 64-43 ATS. They’ve gained 25.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.2 units ATS.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 50-54-3 in 2018. The Phillies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-53-5.
Jake Arrieta will get the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Arrieta is 8-6 with a 3.45 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 10.38 ERA and five strikeouts over 4.1 innings).
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the left hand of Drew Pomeranz (1-4, 6.91 ERA, 1.82 WHIP), who’s got 40 punchouts and 23 walks. Pomeranz did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .254/.337/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have paced the Red Sox batters this year. Martinez is hitting .324/.387/.642 with 32 home runs, 86 RBIs and 76 runs scored, and Betts has put up a line of .346/.431/.666 with 25 homers, 56 RBIs, 83 runs and 20 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.85 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 9.37.
Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.320/.399 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .273/.328/.464 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Hernandez (.269/.374/.374) is up to eight homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 3.1 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 24.5 units and are 50-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Boston’s last seven games.
Boston has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
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