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Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Free Preview 06/05/18

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The streaking Chicago Cubs will go for their fifth straight win as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Wrigley Field. This NL matchup will begin at 8:05 p.m. ET and WGN will broadcast the game.

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 33-23 SU and 28-28 ATS. The team has lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.3 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies are 31-26 SU and have gone 26-31 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 10.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 24-31-1 so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 24-29-4.

The right-handed Zach Eflin is getting the start for Philadelphia. Eflin is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA across seven innings).

The Cubs will send righty Kyle Hendricks (4-4, 3.19 ERA) to the mound. Hendricks has 52 strikeouts and 14 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.06. Hendricks only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and eight strikeouts across seven innings).

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.59, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.59, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.1.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .298/.371/.394 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez have led the Cubs’ hitters this year. Bryant is slashing .289/.400/.512 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Baez is hitting .270 with 14 homers, 45 RBIs, 35 runs and eight steals.

In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.59, along with a WHIP of 1.19.

Phillies hitters have slashed .233/.316/.385 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s offense has been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .305/.366/.471 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.264/.373/.412) has produced seven homers, 21 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 steals.

The Phillies have lost 0.3 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 20-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.

Chicago has averaged 28.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 28.0 over its last five.

The Phillies have lost four of their last five games SU while the Cubs have won seven of their last eight SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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