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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Preview 05/28/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Dodger Stadium. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising this NL matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+120) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-130). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Phillies +1.5 runs (-175) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+155).

The Dodgers are 24-28 SU and 20-31 ATS. The team has lost 23.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.6 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies are 29-21 SU and have gone 23-26 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 4.4 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Dodgers games have a 25-25-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 21-25-3.

Vince Velasquez will get the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Velasquez is 4-5 with a 4.18 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Dodgers will turn to righty Brock Stewart (0-0, 3.72 ERA), who has six strikeouts and four walks to his name as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Stewart did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.26, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.310/.430 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have paced the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Kemp is slashing .333/.365/.522 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Taylor is batting .248 with seven homers, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

Taylor appeared to have some trouble facing righty pitching at home last season. Across 193 such plate appearances, he slashed .236/.295/.416 (compared to his overall season line of .288/.354/.496).

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.49, along with a K-per-9 of 9.05.

The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.323/.394 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .331/.396/.519 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .263/.371/.411 with six homers, 17 RBIs, 35 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Phillies have gained 2.0 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 22.3 units and are 11-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 15 over their last 10.

Los Angeles has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.6 over its last five.

The Dodgers have won four of their last five games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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