The Miami Marlins are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be airing the action.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+130) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-140). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 7.5 runs and -110 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Phillies -1.5 runs (+105) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-125).
The Phillies have gone 16-11 SU this year and are 10-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.7 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, despite having lost 9.0 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 9-18 SU and 12-14 ATS. They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 13-13 thus far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 12-11-3.
Jake Arrieta is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Arrieta is 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).
The Marlins are sending righty Dan Straily (0-0, ERA) to the mound. Straily has zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of . Straily hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.39, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 10.4 K/9. In six divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 7.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.18.
The Miami hitters have produced 3.3 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .228/.303/.389 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Justin Bour and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters so far. Bour is slashing .250/.357/.417 with four home runs, 13 RBIs and eight runs scored, and Anderson is hitting .245 with 24 hits, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
Anderson appeared to enjoy facing right-handed pitching at home last year. Across 40 such plate appearances, he slashed .303/.425/.455 (compared to his overall season line of .262/.337/.369).
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.19, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 9.28.
The Phillies offense has slashed .232/.327/.370 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hoskins is slashing .318/.468/.553 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Herrera is hitting .337/.390/.505 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 0.3 units and are 6-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.2 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Phillies have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
Philadelphia fielders have committed five errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Miami over its last five.
The Phillies have lost three of their last four games SU while the Marlins have won four of their last five SU.
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