The Philadelphia Phillies are ready to face their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas is listing Philadelphia (-155) as the favorite over Miami (+145). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +105 and the under for -125. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -110 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are only 11-18 SU and 14-14 ATS. The team’s lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units against the spread (ATS). The Phillies, on the other hand, are 16-13 SU and have gone 10-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have lost 11.0 units ATS.
Marlins games have a 14-14 over/under record so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 14-11-3.
Aaron Nola is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Nola is 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he made four starts against the Marlins in 2017, posting a 1-3 record against them with a 7.59 ERA and 29 strikeouts.
The Marlins are preparing to start righty Jose Urena (0-4, 4.91 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 10 walks, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Urena made two starts against the Phillies in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 3.00 ERA and eight strikeouts.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
The Phillies offense has slashed .232/.327/.371 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hoskins is slashing .301/.455/.527 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Herrera has a .337 average with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.40 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.89 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 10.3 K/9. In eight games against NL East foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 6.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.35.
Miami’s offense is putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.299/.391 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Justin Bour and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Bour is slashing .253/.356/.448 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and nine runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .264/.371/.377 with 28 hits, 16 RBIs and 13 runs.
Anderson appeared to enjoy facing righties at home in 2017. Across 40 such plate appearances, he slashed .303/.425/.455 (compared to his overall season line of .262/.337/.369).
The Phillies have lost 2.1 units and are 6-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 0.1 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in just two of Miami’s last seven games.
The Phillies have lost five of their last six games SU while the Marlins have won six of their last seven SU.
Philadelphia has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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