The Philadelphia Phillies are set to face the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-135) is favored against Philadelphia (+125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -170 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 42-27 straight up (SU) and 38-30 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies are 35-32 SU and have gone 30-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 3.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 11.2 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 26-40-2 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 30-32-4.
Right-hander Zach Eflin is the probable starter for the visiting Phillies. Eflin is 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Junior Guerra (3-4, 2.71 ERA), who’s got 60 strikeouts and 23 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Guerra has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.66, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 10.5.
Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .237/.299/.391 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .290/.388/.445 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs, 42 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Yelich’s line is .301/.372/.482 with nine homers, 30 RBIs, 45 runs and seven steals.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.00, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
Phillies hitters have slashed .231/.315/.383 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .289/.348/.442 with eight home runs, 35 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Hernandez (.265/.375/.395) is up to seven homers, 23 RBIs, 45 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 2.5 units and are 22-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.7 units and are 32-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve cashed the under.
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
Philadelphia has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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