The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (+105) is the home-team underdog against Philadelphia (-115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Phillies -1.5 runs (+130) and Brewers +1.5 runs (-150).
The Brewers are 42-28 straight up (SU) and 39-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Phillies have gone 36-32 SU this year and are 30-37 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 12.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 27-40-2 thus far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 31-32-4.
Aaron Nola will get the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Nola (8-2, 2.27 ERA) has racked up 90 punchouts in 91 innings so far. This is his first outing against Milwaukee this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 2.08 ERA and 16 strikeouts.
The Brewers are sending righty Chase Anderson (5-5, 4.13 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 49 strikeouts and 28 walks to his name, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Anderson did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.93 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.66, a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 10.6.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .226/.287/.378 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have paced the Brewers’ batters this year. Cain is hitting .289/.386/.442 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs, 42 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Yelich is hitting .297 with nine homers, 30 RBIs, 46 runs and seven steals.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.97 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.93, along with a K/9 of 9.47.
Phillies hitters have slashed .231/.317/.384 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .283/.342/.433 with eight home runs, 35 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .263/.370/.390 with seven homers, 24 RBIs, 45 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 2.5 units and are 22-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 16.6 units and are 33-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Philadelphia fielders have 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
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