The New York Mets will play host to their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Odds
New York (-170) is favored over Philadelphia (+160) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-135) and Mets -1.5 runs (+115).
The Mets are 64-77 straight up (SU) and 68-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units (ATS). The Phillies, on the other hand, are 74-67 SU and have gone 67-73 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 15.2 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 61-70-8 in 2018. Philadelphia has also been a good under bet with a total record of 61-73-6.
Right-hander Vince Velasquez is getting the nod for Philadelphia. Velasquez is 9-10 with a 4.10 ERA and 148 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets will be sending righty Jacob deGrom (8-8, 1.68 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 230 strikeouts and 42 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. deGrom is 1-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across three starts against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.00 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 58 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.03.
The New York offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .282/.339/.471 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ batters have been led by Amed Rosario, who is slashing .256/.295/.382 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 64 runs and 18 steals.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.97 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.23.
Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.318/.397 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by Cesar Hernandez. Hernandez is slashing .257/.363/.359 with 11 home runs, 48 RBIs, 82 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Mets are looking for another win following a 10-5 victory in the prior game of the series.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 19 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
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