The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-175) is hosting this one as the favorite over Philadelphia (+165) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Phillies +1.5 runs (-135) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+115).
The Phillies are 68-57 SU and have gone 61-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 10.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 63-63 SU and 60-65 ATS. The team’s lost 25.1 units for moneyline bettors and 8.0 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 54-68-3 in 2018. Philadelphia has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-66-5.
Zach Eflin will get the start for the Phils. The right-handed Eflin is 9-4 with a 3.70 ERA and 91 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are handing the ball to righty Stephen Strasburg (6-7, 3.90 ERA), who has 101 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Strasburg has yet to face the Phillies this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, putting together a perfect 2-0 record with a 1.63 ERA and 31 strikeouts.
Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 53 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.38 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .278/.333/.456 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is hitting .267/.335/.409 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 76 runs and 32 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .293 with 16 homers, 61 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.28.
Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.317/.393 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .266/.320/.438 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez (.257/.365/.362) is up to 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 9.8 units and are 47-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 6.9 units and are 47-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 50 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in six of Washington’s last seven games.
The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 14 over their last 10.
Washington has recorded 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
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