The Philadelphia Phillies will pay a visit to Nationals Park to take on their NL East foe Washington Nationals. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the action.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-135) is the favorite over Philadelphia (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -170 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Phillies are 39-33 SU and are 31-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 15.9 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 40-33 SU and 36-36 ATS. The team’s lost 7.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Nationals games have a 28-42-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 34-34-4.
Zach Eflin is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin is 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Nationals will be sending righty Tanner Roark (3-7, 3.87 ERA) to the mound. Roark has 72 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Roark is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.83 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.67.
The Phillies offense has slashed .233/.320/.391 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is hitting .299/.355/.491 with 12 home runs, 41 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Hernandez has a .262 average with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 51 runs and 10 stolen bases.
For the home team, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.29, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 22 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.
Washington’s hitters have produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .283/.360/.404 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ batters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .267/.350/.404 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 40 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .282/.357/.480 with seven homers, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 5.8 units and are 23-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 6.1 units and are 27-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 28 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
Washington has recorded 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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