In the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-13) and the Philadelphia Phillies (17-14) at Marlins Park, Justin Nicolino (2-0, 2.70 ERA) and Aaron Nola (2-2, 2.92 ERA) get the start. The Phillies won the last game 4-3, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 8 and will air on CSPh and FSFL.
In his most recent outing, Nicolino pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs and walking three in a 7-4 victory over the Diamondbacks. Christian Yelich (.343, 19 Rs, 4 HRs, 16 RBIs, 2 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one stolen base. The Phillies were also victorious the last time Nola pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 1-0 victory over the Cardinals. Odubel Herrera (.330, 19 Rs, 3 HRs, 11 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Marlins have a SU record of 8-6 against teams in their division. Miami has averaged 0.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 0.0. Miami’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 0.0 during that span, compared to its 0.0 season average.
Against divisional rivals, the Phillies are 6-8 SU. Philadelphia has been playing better lately, averaging 0.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 0.0. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 0.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 0.0.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA
Notes
The Phillies won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Marlins are 4-4. The Phillies are 10-3 in close games this season.
The Marlins are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Phillies have a record of 8-7 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-9. The Phillies have a 5-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 25 this season. Miami ranks in the bottom half with 30.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league in hits, notching 7.32 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.59.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.643). Miami ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .769.
When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 7-11. When the Marlins allow one or more homers, they have an 8-5 record.
