The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Midwest is in line to broadcast this NL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:15 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Oddsmakers are listing St. Louis (-120) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+110). Gamblers are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -190 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +165 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Phillies are 25-17 SU and are 19-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 3.8 units ATS. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 24-18 SU and 19-21 ATS. They’ve gained 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.5 units ATS.
St. Louis games have an over/under record of 16-21-3 so far in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 19 times, gone over 18 times and pushed on three occasions.
Right-hander Zach Eflin will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. Eflin is 1-0 with a 0.71 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cardinals are going with righty John Gant (1-1, 4.15 ERA), who has 11 strikeouts and three walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.00. Gant did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.75, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K-per-9 of 9.06.
Phillies hitters have slashed .243/.331/.404 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .358/.427/.550 with six home runs, 27 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Hernandez (.277/.386/.447) is up to six homers, 15 RBIs, 32 runs and eight stolen bases.
For the home team, St. Louis’ pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.07 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The St. Louis offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.353/.420 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielder Tommy Pham and first baseman Jose Martinez have led the Cardinals’ hitters this year. Pham is slashing .318/.430/.553 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs, 34 runs and seven steals, while Martinez’s line is .320/.394/.497 with five homers, 28 RBIs and 16 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .306/.411/.520, Pham didn’t perform very well against right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .257/.377/.355 over 183 such plate appearances.
The Phillies have gained 3.2 units and are 13-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.6 units and are 11-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve cashed the under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just two of St. Louis’ last seven games.
Philadelphia has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 12 over their last 10.
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