The Philadelphia Phillies will head west to square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Philadelphia (+120) as the underdog to Arizona (-130). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. The game’s runline odds stand at -175 for taking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 62-50 straight up (SU) and 58-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.9 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Phillies are 62-48 SU and have gone 53-57 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 13.7 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 11.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Arizona games have an over/under record of 54-53-5 in 2018. Philadelphia has been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-57-5.
The right-handed Jake Arrieta is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta is 9-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks are sending righty Zack Godley (12-6, 4.46 ERA) to the mound. Godley has 130 strikeouts and 59 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Godley has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.59 ERA and eight strikeouts across five and 2-third innings).
As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.12, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 7.9.
The Arizona offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .308/.381/.509 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is hitting .296/.354/.503 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .277/.385/.520 with 24 homers, 60 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.83, along with a K/9 of 9.29.
The Phillies offense has slashed .238/.321/.399 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .275/.330/.460 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Hernandez (.262/.369/.371) has produced nine homers, 37 RBIs, 69 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 10.3 units and are 40-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 4.3 units and are 39-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 34 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Philadelphia has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Arizona has 17 XBH over its last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.
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