The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against their division rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The matchup will be nationally televised on Fox and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-145) is hosting this one as the favorite against Philadelphia (+135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Phillies +1.5 runs (-160) and Braves -1.5 runs (+140).
The Phillies have gone 78-75 SU this year and are 70-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.3 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 86-68 SU and 78-74 ATS. They’ve gained 18.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.6 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Braves games have a 74-72-6 over/under record in 2018. The Phillies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-77-6.
The right-handed Jake Arrieta is getting the start for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta is 10-9 with a 3.77 ERA and 133 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are handing the ball to righty Mike Foltynewicz (11-10, 2.90 ERA), who has 188 strikeouts and 65 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Foltynewicz is 1-1 with 26 strikeouts and a 1.96 ERA over four starts against Philadelphia this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 68 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.18 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.92.
Atlanta’s hitters have put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .262/.366/.409 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have paced the Braves’ batters this year. Freeman is hitting .311/.391/.508 with 23 home runs, 93 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while the line for Markakis stands at .303/.369/.452 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 9.12.
The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.317/.397 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .254/.358/.364 with 14 home runs, 55 RBIs, 88 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera is hitting .255/.313/.426 with 22 homers, 68 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 21.1 units and are 60-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 51 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Philadelphia defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit eight over their last 10.
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