The Baltimore Orioles are set to host the Philadelphia Phillies at Camden Yards. The game gets underway 6:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this interleague showdown.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Philadelphia (-110) is favored against Baltimore (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at +135 for taking the Phillies -1.5 runs and -155 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Orioles are 26-67 straight up (SU) and 35-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 36.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.4 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, have gone 51-40 SU this year and are 41-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 12.8 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 15.4 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 37-52-3 so far in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 47 times, gone over 39 times and pushed on four occasions.
Nick Pivetta will get the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Pivetta is 5-7 with a 4.62 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Kevin Gausman (4-6, 4.11 ERA), who has 95 punchouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Gausman hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.30 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.38 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.
Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .228/.294/.414 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .314/.383/.573 with 23 home runs, 63 RBIs, 46 runs and seven steals, while Jones is batting .278 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 36 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
Phillies hitters have slashed .235/.322/.392 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .278/.331/.467 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .264/.372/.374 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 62 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 11.7 units and are 32-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 29.6 units and are 21-40 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.
The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 10 over their last 10.
Philadelphia has recorded 19.9 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.
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