The Philadelphia Phillies are paying a visit to Boston to face off against the Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will be televising this interleague showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-145) is favored over Philadelphia (+135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Phillies +1.5 runs (-160) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+140).
The Red Sox are 73-33 straight up (SU) and 63-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 24.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.9 units (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies are 58-46 SU and have gone 48-56 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 11.3 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 15.2 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 50-53-3 in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 47-52-5.
Aaron Nola is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Nola is 12-3 with a 2.42 ERA and 136 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox are turning to lefty David Price (11-6, 4.17 ERA), who’s got 114 strikeouts and 35 walks as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Price only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.85 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.94, along with a K/9 of 9.37.
The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.320/.399 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .273/.328/.464 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Hernandez is hitting .269 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 14 steals.
For the home team, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .254/.337/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is hitting .324/.387/.642 with 32 home runs, 86 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .346/.431/.666 with 25 homers, 56 RBIs, 83 runs and 20 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 3.1 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 23.5 units and are 49-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Philadelphia has recorded 23 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 20 XBH over its last five.
Boston has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
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