The Cincinnati Reds are set to host the Philadelphia Phillies at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be airing this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Philadelphia (+110) is entering this one as the underdog against Cincinnati (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-190) and Reds -1.5 runs (+165).
The Reds are 58-43 against the spread (ATS), but only 45-57 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 4.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.4 units (ATS). Cincinnati has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies are 57-44 SU and have gone 46-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 11.3 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 15.2 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 53-44-4 in 2018. Philadelphia has been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-51-5.
Ranger Suarez is the projected starter for the visiting Phils. Suarez has yet to pitch in the majors this year and Philadelphia is hoping that he can handle big-league action.
The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of righty Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.32 ERA), who has 101 punchouts and 46 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.47. Mahle did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.21, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .195/.279/.348 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the way for the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is slashing .318/.367/.507 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, and Peraza is hitting .288 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.92, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
The Phillies offense has slashed .235/.320/.394 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is hitting .276/.329/.464 with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Hernandez is slashing .265/.370/.373 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 8.3 units and are 35-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against ies.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 13 XBH over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
Philadelphia fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
+++++
