The Philadelphia Phillies are set to play the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio is in line to televise this NL showdown. The game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Both teams have matching -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +140 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -160 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 59-43 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 45-58 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.3 units (ATS). Cincinnati has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Phillies are 58-44 SU and have gone 47-54 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 12.7 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 14.2 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 54-44-4 in 2018. The Phillies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 45-51-5.
Nick Pivetta will get the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Pivetta is 6-8 with a 4.69 ERA and 122 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds will turn to righty Anthony DeSclafani (4-3, 5.40 ERA), who has 41 punchouts and 15 walks as well as a 1.32 WHIP. DeSclafani has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.87, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
Phillies hitters have slashed .238/.322/.401 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .276/.329/.462 with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .266 with eight homers, 34 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.25 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .206/.280/.364 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the charge for the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is hitting .317/.366/.504 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .290/.334/.385 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 9.6 units and are 36-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 6.4 units and are 43-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 35 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
Cincinnati has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.0 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 18 over their last five.
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