The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. This NL matchup will begin at 3:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies Odds
Colorado (-170) is hosting this one as the favorite against Philadelphia (+160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 11 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -135 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5.
The Phillies have gone 78-80 SU this year and are 71-86 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 27.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 88-70 SU and 82-75 ATS. The team’s gained 17.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Rockies games have an over/under record of 66-84-7 in 2018. The Phillies have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 72-79-6.
Right-hander Jake Arrieta is the probable starter for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta (10-10, 3.94 ERA) has recorded 135 punchouts in 166.2 innings so far. This is his first start against Colorado this year. He made two starts against the Rockies in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record against them with a 10.13 ERA and six strikeouts.
The Rockies are putting the ball in the right hand of Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.52 ERA), who has 65 strikeouts and 27 walks this season as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Senzatela did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.61 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
Colorado’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .330/.430/.517 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led the charge for the Rockies’ offense this year. Blackmon is slashing .287/.356/.488 with 27 home runs, 66 RBIs and 114 runs scored, and Arenado’s line is .296/.375/.546 with 34 homers, 105 RBIs and 100 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.15 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 9.14.
Phillies hitters have slashed .235/.316/.393 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is slashing .254/.357/.360 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 89 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera is slashing .256/.313/.423 with 22 homers, 69 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 11.4 units and are 54-66 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 62 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 12.9 units and are 48-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has recorded seven extra-base hits over its last five games. Colorado has 19 XBH over its last five.
Philadelphia has posted 15.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit seven over their last 10.
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