Aaron Harang (4-10, 3.56 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (4-9, 6.28 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (27-52) and the Milwaukee Brewers (31-48) at Citizens Bank Park. The Brewers won the last game 4-3 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 1 and can be seen on FSN-WI and CSN-PHI.
Harang is 7-6 with a 4.10 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and 141 strikeouts against the Brewers. Maikel Franco (.294, 25 Rs, 10 HRs, 32 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday. Against the Phillies, Lohse is 5-5 with a 3.23 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 66 strikeouts. Ryan Braun (.275, 44 Rs, 15 HRs, 50 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Brewers, going 4 for 5 yesterday with two runs.
Milwaukee takes on Philadelphia as a -128 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,544 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 24-46. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.3 runs per game. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.0.
As for their opponent, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,688 and a disappointing record of 11-17as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record, and a 6-4 record SU. The The Brewers allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fourth in the NL.
The Brewers have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Phillies have a bad 22-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Lohse takes the mound. Harang (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a inferior 21-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
Milwaukee recorded at least two errors for the 14th time this season.
The Brewers are 2-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 2-4 in such matchups.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are heading in with an 8-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Phillies have an 8-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 49 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 68.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 13th with 8.19 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 14th with 8.13.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 29th with an OPS of .651 and Milwaukee ranks 25th with an OPS of .674.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 20-32, well-matched with the Phillies who are 12-34 when allowing at least one homer.
