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Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Game Pick

Jerome Williams (4-9, 6.10 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (7-6, 3.17 ERA) start in the second of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (50-75) and the New York Mets (68-56) at Citizens Bank Park. The Mets won the last game 16-7 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 25 and can be seen on CSPh and SNY.

Williams pitched 1.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering eight runs, striking out one and walking four in a 9-7 defeat to the Marlins. Syndergaard went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Orioles in his last outing. Yoenis Cespedes (.296, 77 Rs, 24 HRs, 79 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.

New York is favored (-200) over Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have an overall money line of -313 and a record as the underdog of 45-67. Philadelphia has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 18-25 and 21-27 as the underdog and SU respectively. Philadelphia’s pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 4.0 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 4.9 season average.

As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +961 and an impressive record of 51-19 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 25-9 record against teams in their division, and a 30-17 record SU. Offensively, the Mets have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 6.3 during that stretch. New York’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.33 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.17 for the season.

The Mets have controlled the season series, 9-1. The Phillies have a 38-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Syndergaard takes the mound. Williams (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 53-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over

Notes

New York recorded at least two errors for the 13th time this season.

The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 20-41 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Phillies are 16-58. The Mets have a 14-46 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 28th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 97 this season. New York ranks 12th with 127 home runs.

Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.14 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.70.

Philadelphia and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 26th with an OPS of .692 and New York ranks 24th with an OPS of .697.

When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 31-40. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 23-54 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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