Chad Billingsley (0-1, 9.00 ERA) and Dillon Gee (0-2, 3.86 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (11-20) and the New York Mets (19-11) at Citizens Bank Park. The Mets won the last game 3-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and can be seen on SNY and CSN-PHI.
Billingsley is 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, and goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .234 this season. Freddy Galvis (.347, 10 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Gee is 4-4 with a 6.37 ERA against the Phillies in his career. He takes on a below-average Philadelphia offense that’s batting just .227. Juan Lagares (.286, 14 Rs, 1 HR, 13 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
New York takes on Philadelphia as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -535 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 10-17. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 3-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Phillies are the fourth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.9 hits per game to their opponents this season.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +756 and an impressive record of 13-3 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with an 11-3 record against NL East rivals, and a 15-9 record SU. Offensively, the Mets have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 2.4 during that stretch. New York is excellent at not striking out with just 7.0 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. New York’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 2.92 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.11 for the season.
The Mets lead the season series, 4-1. The Phillies have a bad 8-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Gee takes the mound. Billingsley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 3-6 record on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Their overall record against righties isn’t as positive at 15-8.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Under
Notes
The Mets won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Phillies are 3-4. The Mets are 7-4 in close games this season.
The Phillies are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 5-0 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 3-17. The Mets have a 7-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia and New York both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Philadelphia sits at 29th with 16 home runs this season and New York ranks 26th with 20.
Philadelphia and New York both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 14th with 7.50 hits per game and New York ranks 13th with 7.52.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.611). New York ranks near the bottom at 26th with an OPS of .651.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 9-7. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 5-13 record.
