The Philadelphia Phillies will head west to face off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego is in line to showcase this NL showdown.
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (+120) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over eight runs and -110 for under eight. Runline odds stand at +115 for taking the Phillies -1.5 runs and -135 for the Padres +1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 63-49 SU and have gone 56-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 10.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 44-70 SU and 54-62 ATS. They’ve lost 13.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 55-56-5 in 2018. The Phillies have been a good under bet with a total record of 48-61-5.
Zach Eflin is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin (8-3, 3.61 ERA) has recorded 78 strikeouts in 84.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are planning to start lefty Joey Lucchesi (5-6, 3.70 ERA), who has 87 strikeouts and 28 walks to his name, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.53 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The San Diego offense has produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.335/.446 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .254/.322/.389 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and the line for Galvis stands at .237/.294/.346 with six homers, 42 RBIs and 37 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.27.
Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.321/.396 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who have combined to launch 28 home runs. Herrera is slashing .277/.333/.463 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez (.260/.367/.367) has produced nine homers, 37 RBIs, 70 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Padres have lost 4.4 units and are 41-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve gone under against righties.
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
Philadelphia has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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