The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Odds
San Francisco (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+125) and Giants +1.5 runs (-145).
The Giants are 28-30 SU and 33-24 ATS. They’ve gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units against the spread (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies are 31-25 SU and have gone 26-29 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 6.0 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
San Francisco games have an over/under record of 29-26-2 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 24-27-4.
The right-handed Jake Arrieta is projected to start for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta is 5-2 with a 2.16 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.84 ERA and five strikeouts over six and one-third innings).
The Giants will be sending Dereck Rodriguez (0-0, 2.70 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez has four punchouts and one walks to his credit, as well as a 1.80 WHIP. Rodriguez did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.65, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The San Francisco offense has produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .290/.339/.438 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Brandon Crawford and first baseman Brandon Belt have led the Giants’ offense this year. Crawford is hitting .310/.350/.470 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Belt’s line is .307/.403/.547 with 11 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.32 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.19.
Phillies hitters have slashed .234/.317/.387 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .306/.368/.476 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez is slashing .264/.375/.415 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 steals.
The Giants have lost 6.0 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Phillies have lost three of their last four games SU.
Philadelphia has posted 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
Both teams have hit seven home runs over their last 10 games.
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