The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This NL matchup will get going at 2:15 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest.
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Oddsmakers are listing St. Louis (+105) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-115). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +130 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -150 for the Cardinals +1.5.
The Cardinals are 24-19 SU and 20-22 ATS. The team has gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.8 units against the spread (ATS). St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 26-17 SU and have gone 20-22 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 6.2 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, but have lost 4.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Cardinals games have a 17-22-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 19-20-3.
Aaron Nola will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Nola is 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He has yet to face St. Louis this year, but he did make two starts against the Cardinals in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record against them with a 2.92 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
The Cardinals are going with righty Jack Flaherty (0-1, 2.87 ERA), who has 14 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Flaherty did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.41 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.76, along with a K-per-9 of 8.98.
Phillies hitters have slashed .242/.331/.403 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been powered by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .353/.420/.558 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Hernandez has a .282 average with six homers, 15 RBIs, 34 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The St. Louis offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .273/.349/.419 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ batters have been led by outfielder Tommy Pham and first baseman Jose Martinez. Pham is slashing .321/.429/.547 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs, 35 runs and eight steals, while Martinez’s line sits at .314/.385/.487 with five homers, 29 RBIs and 17 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .306/.411/.520, Pham seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .257/.377/.355 over 183 such plate appearances.
The Phillies have gained 3.5 units and are 14-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 2.0 units and are 12-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
Philadelphia fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for St. Louis over its last 10.
The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.
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