The Philadelphia Phillies are making a road trip to Washington to take on their division foe Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the action. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-145) is favored against Philadelphia (+135) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-160) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+140).
The Nationals are 62-63 straight up (SU) and 60-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 25.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units (ATS). Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies have gone 68-56 SU this year and are 61-63 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 10.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 10.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 54-68-3 in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 66 times, gone over 53 times and pushed on five occasions.
Right-hander Vince Velasquez will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez (8-9, 4.13 ERA) has recorded 133 strikeouts in 120 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals are putting the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (8-12, 4.13 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), who has 126 strikeouts and 48 walks. Roark is 0-3 with 21 strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA across three starts against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 52 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
Washington’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .247/.299/.397 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ batters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .266/.334/.409 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 75 runs and 32 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .292/.350/.499 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 57 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.84 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.92, along with a K/9 of 9.24.
Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.317/.394 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have paced Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is hitting .268/.320/.441 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez (.260/.367/.365) has produced 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 77 runs and 16 steals.
The Phillies have gained 9.8 units and are 47-48 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 6.9 units and are 47-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 50 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in just one of Washington’s last seven games.
Philadelphia has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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