In the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (26-49) and the Washington Nationals (26-49) at Citizens Bank Park, Kevin Correia (0-1, 4.30 ERA) and Stephen Strasburg (4-5, 5.90 ERA) get the start. The Nationals won the last game 5-2, extending a seven-game winning streak. The game starts at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and will air on MASN and CSN-PHI.
Correia is 3-4 with a 3.40 ERA against the Nationals in his career, and faces a strong Washington offense that’s hitting .259 on the year. Ben Revere (.294, 40 Rs, 1 HR, 19 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 1 Friday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Phillies, Strasburg is 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA, 92 strikeouts and 12 walks. Bryce Harper (.340, 53 Rs, 24 HRs, 58 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Nationals, going 2 for 5 Friday with one run and one RBI.
Philadelphia, a +158 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Phillies have a losing record of 23-44 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,479. They have disappointing records of 9-21 as the underdog and 10-22 SU within their division. Philadelphia has averaged 4.9 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.3. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 7.9 during that span, compared to its 5.0 season average.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Nationals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .600 when playing as the favorite (33-22) and an overall money line of +115. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 6-1 record. They sport the third-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Nationals, who average 8.8 hits per game. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Washington pitchers. They’ve allowed 2.1 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.0. They also allow just 2.3 walks per game, second-best in the NL.
The Nationals have gotten the better of the Phillies in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-4. This game will feature Strasburg (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 21-39 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Correia will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 30-29 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – WSH, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 22-14, while Philadelphia is 12-25.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 15-15 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Nationals are coming into the game with seven consecutive wins, while the Phillies currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 16-7. The Nationals have a 31-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 246 this season. Washington ranks seventh with 328 runs.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 167 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 226.
The Phillies are 16-19 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 29-14 when they hit at least one homer.
