The Los Angeles Clippers (13-6) look to extend an eight-game home winning streak when they go head-to-head against the Phoenix Suns (4-16) at Staples Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
Los Angeles opened as an 11-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points.
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers Free Prediction
The Suns were unable to cover as 8.5-point favorites in their 109-104 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last outing. The total points for the game (213) were under the O/U total of 221.5. One of Indiana’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 29 trips to the line, while Phoenix went 18 times. Phoenix’s Deandre Ayton had a good performance, putting up 18 points and 12 rebounds.
The last time the Clippers were in action, they were victorious over the Portland Trail Blazers, 104-100, despite being 4-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (204) were well under the O/U total of 227.5. One of Los Angeles’ largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They made 34 trips to the line, while Portland went just 10 times. Tobias Harris was the game’s leading scorer with 34 points on 14-for-22 shooting from the field.
The aggressive Los Angeles offense might be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this meeting. The Clippers rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.272, while Phoenix ranks 27th in FTA rate allowed (0.237).
Phoenix comes into the game with records of 4-16 straight up (SU) and 8-11 against the spread (ATS). Of the Suns’ 19 games with betting action, 10 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 13-6 SU and 12-7 ATS. Clippers games have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (63.2 percent).
Montrezl Harrell has averaged 19 points,9.4 rebounds,1.4 steals,1.4 blocks over the last five games for Los Angeles.
After the Clippers won all four games against the Suns last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Los Angeles won 111-99. The Clippers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.8 vs. 18.4) and had a better free throw rate (0.212 vs. 0.148).
Suns vs. Clippers ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles ranks ninth in rebounds per game (46.8) while Phoenix ranks 29th (40.0).
Los Angeles ranks 15 in fast break points allowed per game (13.842105263157896) while Phoenix ranks 27 (17.75).
The Suns rank 17 in three pointers attempted per game (30.5) while the Clippers rank 27 (25.36842105263158).
Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-7 ATS on the road.
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 9.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
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