The Philadelphia 76ers (11-7) will try to lengthen their eight-game home winning streak when they clash against the Phoenix Suns (3-12), who look to end their six-game road losing streak. The game will air on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 19, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points with Philadelphia opening as a 12.5-point favorite.
Phoenix Suns vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction
The Suns are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 4.5-point underdogs in their 110-100 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. The total points for the game (210) finished under the projected point total of 216.5. Oklahoma City won the rebounding battle. The Thunder had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. four), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 27) and total rebounds (52 vs. 31). Devin Booker played well for Phoenix, putting up 16 points and 12 assists.
In the 76ers’ last game, they won a close one over the Charlotte Hornets, 122-119, despite being 3-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (241) came in well over the O/U total of 225. The 76ers made 33 of their 38 free throws (86.8 percent) and held the Hornets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.0 (below their season average of 22.8). Joel Embiid was Philadelphia’s high scorer with 33 points on 9-for-23 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, the 76ers won 123-110. The 76ers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.623 vs. 0.477) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.4 vs. 26.7).
Phoenix holds records of 3-12 straight up (SU) and 6-9 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Suns are playing, as nine of their 15 games have finished under the total.
Philadelphia is 11-7 SU, but they have difficulty covering the spread (8-10 ATS). Unlike Phoenix, games including the 76ers tend to finish over the projected point total (61.1 percent).
T.J. Warren has averaged 20 points,1.6 steals over the last five games for Phoenix.
It will be a matchup of conflicting paces as the up-tempo 76ers will look to push the more grind-it-out Suns. The 76ers currently rank fifth in possessions per game while the Suns are 21st. Furthermore, the Suns rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (18.6 percent), while the 76ers rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.5 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Philadelphia 76ers Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Philadelphia is 5-3 ATS at home with 5 overs and 3 unders.
Philadelphia is 3-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Phoenix is 1-0.
The 76ers are 11-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Suns are 3-6.
Philadelphia ranks third in rebounds per game (48.6) while Phoenix ranks 29th (40.5).
The 76ers average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Suns rank 25th in assists allowed per game (25.1).
Philadelphia ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.8) while Phoenix ranks 27th (3.7).
The 76ers average 14.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Suns rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (18.9).
Phoenix ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (28.1) while Philadelphia ranks 18th (31.6).
The 76ers average 16.72222222222222 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 17 in the league. The Suns rank 29 in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.666666666666668).
Philadelphia ranks 18 in steals allowed per game (7.777777777777778) while Phoenix ranks 28 (10.2).
The 76ers rank 21 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.22222222222222) while the Suns rank last (53.733333333333334).
Philadelphia ranks 19 in second chance points per game (12.666666666666666) while Phoenix ranks 27 (10.266666666666667).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, down from 11.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (0.2 below their season average).
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