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Phoenix Suns – Dallas Mavericks Preview – 01.31.2016

The Phoenix Suns will travel to the American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks. The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Sunday, Jan. 31 and will air on FSW and FAZ.

The Mavericks won a close one over the Lakers 92-90 in their last game. Chandler Parsons had 17 points, nine rebounds, and four assists for Dallas. The Suns, meanwhile, are coming off a demoralizing 115-93 loss at the hands of the Cavaliers on Wednesday. Devin Booker had a good shooting night, leading the team with 16 points.

Over the last five games, Parsons has been playing at a high level for the Mavericks. During that stretch, he has averaged 24.0 points, 6.6 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 0.8 steals, and 3.6 three-pointers.

The Mavericks have won both contests against the Suns this season, including a 104-94 victory in their last matchup. Despite the loss, Eric Bledsoe was the game’s leading scorer with 23 points.

The Mavericks are a considerable 12-point favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at 207 points. The Mavericks are attempting to build on their records of 27-22 Straight Up (SU) and 28-20-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 17-13 SU and 18-12 ATS versus the Western Conference. Dallas is excellent from the perimeter with 448 three-pointers made (9.0 per game), the fifth-most in the league. Expect Dallas to have lots of opportunities at the line against the Suns, who are one of the most foul-prone teams in the league with an average of 22.7 fouls per game.

On the other side, Phoenix has a SU record of 14-34 and an ATS record of 18-30. Most recently, Phoenix is a meager 2-8 ATS over the last 10 games.

The Mavericks’ win over Phoenix in their last game moved the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the past 10 meetings. The Suns hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3.

Predictions: SU Winner – Dal, ATS Winner – Dal, O/U – Under

Notes

Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games when playing Phoenix.

Dallas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Phoenix.

Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas’s last 12 games when playing at home against Phoenix.

Dallas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix.

Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix.

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix’s last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas.

Phoenix ranks 18th in points per game with 101.0, while Dallas ranks 15th in points allowed with an average of 101.3 given up.

Phoenix ranks 20th in points per away game with 98.8 points, while Dallas ranks 14th in points allowed at home with 99.4.

When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Mavericks are 18-3 on the season. When the Suns score fewer than 100, they are an underachieving 1-21.

At 8-18, the Dallas Mavericks have a poor record when their opponents score at least 100 points. The Phoenix Suns are 13-12 when they put up triple digits.

The Suns have a defensive rating of 107.4 (ranked 29th). The Mavericks rank 14th for their offensive rating of 103.3.

The Phoenix Suns average 100.6 possessions per game and 1.008 points per possession. The Dallas Mavericks earn fewer possessions with 97.7, but they score more points with 1.033.

The Dallas Mavericks average an effective field goal percentage of 49.6% this season. The Phoenix Suns have an abysmal record of 6-31 when opponents have an EFF% of 49.6% or greater.

On average, the Dallas Mavericks attempt 28.0 three point field goals per game and the Phoenix Suns attempt 25.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Dallas is 18-16, while Phoenix has a losing record of 7-19.

Dallas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.70 this season (ranked eighth), while Phoenix ranks lower at 29th with an A/TO of 1.28.

The Mavericks rank 16th in rebounds per game with 43.3, while the Suns rank 20th with 42.8 per game.

The Phoenix Suns rank 14th in offensive rebounding, while the Dallas Mavericks rank sixth in defensive rebounding.

Phoenix has forced one of the highest average turnover rates this season with 14.9% (ranked ninth). In games where their turnover rate is 14.9% or higher, Dallas is an even 8-8.

Written by GMS Previews

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