The Detroit Pistons (9-7) challenge the Phoenix Suns (4-14) at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018, and will air on Fox Arizona Plus.
Detroit is an 8.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points.
Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction
The last time the Suns played, they narrowly defeated the Milwaukee Bucks, 116-114, as 13.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (230) finished just under the O/U total of 232.5. Phoenix’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Milwaukee. The Suns had a rate of 9.9 (better than their season average of 15.4), while the Bucks posted a mark of 12.3. With 29 points on 13-for-26 shooting, Devin Booker led Phoenix in scoring.
The Pistons were victorious over the Houston Rockets in their last outing, 116-111, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (227) finished over the projected point total of 216.5. The Pistons made 29 of their 40 free throws (72.5 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 11.0 (better than their season average of 12.0). With 23 points, 20 rebounds and five blocks, Detroit’s Andre Drummond played well.
After the Pistons won both contests against the Suns last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Detroit won 115-88. The Pistons had a much better turnover percentage (7.1 vs. 16.1) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.521 vs. 0.417).
Phoenix holds records of 4-14 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS). Suns games tend to go under the projected point total (55.6 percent).
Meanwhile, Detroit is 9-7 SU and 9-7 ATS. Contrary to Phoenix, games including the Pistons have a tendency to go over the O/U total (56.3 percent).
T.J. Warren has averaged 23 points,1.2 steals over the last five games for Phoenix.
It will be a showdown of opposite styles as the up-and-down Pistons (ranked ninth in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Suns (19th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Suns rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (17.7 percent), while the Pistons rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.2 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Detroit Pistons Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Phoenix is 3-6 ATS with 5 overs and 4 unders.
Detroit is 3-5 ATS at home with 4 overs and 4 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Phoenix and Detroit are both 1-0.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Pistons are 9-5 and the Suns are 4-8.
Detroit ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (10.9) while Phoenix ranks 29th (18.4).
The Pistons rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Suns rank 26th (20.9).
Detroit ranks third in second chance points per game (16.3) while Phoenix ranks 27th (9.5).
The Pistons rank seventh in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Suns rank 27th (39.7).
Detroit ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (49.3) while Phoenix ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (54.7).
The Pistons rank 9 in steals allowed per game (7.375) while the Suns rank 26 (9.722222222222221).
Detroit ranks 11 in assists allowed per game (23.3125) while Phoenix ranks 28 (25.444444444444443).
The Suns rank 4 in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while the Pistons rank 6 (29.4375).
Detroit ranks 24 in blocks per game (3.875) while Phoenix ranks 25 (3.8333333333333335).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Phoenix is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 9.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
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