The Cincinnati Reds are set to host their division foe Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park. The action gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on ATPT and FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
The Reds are 88-72 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 67-94 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.9 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Pirates have gone 81-79 SU this year and are 78-81 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 5.2 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 12.2 units ATS.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 77-78-5 in 2018. Pirates games have gone under 79 times, gone over 70 times and pushed on 10 occasions.
Clay Holmes is getting the start for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Holmes is 1-3 with a 7.25 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are sending righty Sal Romano (8-11, 5.37 ERA) to the mound. Romano has 104 strikeouts and 52 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Romano is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.03, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 75 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.07.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .232/.284/.372 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Jose Peraza and second baseman Scooter Gennett have led the Reds’ batters this year. Peraza is slashing .290/.327/.419 with 14 home runs, 58 RBIs, 85 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Gennett is batting .310 with 23 homers, 92 RBIs and 86 runs.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.06, along with a K-per-9 of 9.50.
The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.320/.406 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is slashing .276/.327/.453 with 19 home runs, 71 RBIs, 80 runs and 33 stolen bases, while Dickerson is hitting .300/.330/.474 with 13 homers, 55 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Pittsburgh has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has 10 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit eight over their last 10.
Cincinnati has recorded 15.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.
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