The ice-cold Colorado Rockies are trying to avoid dropping their fifth in a row as they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Coors Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on ATRM and ATPT.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+130) as the underdog to Colorado (-140). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 11 runs and -105 for under 11. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -170 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Rockies -1.5 runs.
The Pirates have gone 57-54 SU this year and are 52-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.0 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 9.0 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 58-52 SU and 57-53 ATS. The team has gained 6.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS. Colorado has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Colorado games have an over/under record of 50-55-5 in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 54-49-8.
Right-hander Joe Musgrove is the projected starter for the visiting Pirates. Musgrove (4-5, 3.63 ERA) has racked up 54 strikeouts in 67 innings so far. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Rockies are putting the ball in the left hand of Kyle Freeland (9-7, 3.20 ERA), who’s got 105 strikeouts and 47 walks this season as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Freeland is 0-1 with two strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Colorado hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .218/.299/.364 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Rockies’ hitters have been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story. Arenado is slashing .302/.386/.582 with 28 home runs, 80 RBIs and 72 runs scored, and Story is hitting .290 with 23 homers, 75 RBIs, 56 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
Pirates hitters have slashed .255/.323/.416 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been sparked by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .317/.351/.516 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte is hitting .288/.336/.488 with 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 59 runs and 25 steals.
The Pirates have lost 6.3 units and are 12-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 1.9 units and are 31-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve cashed the under.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Colorado’s last seven games.
The Pirates have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 13 over their last 10.
Pittsburgh has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
The Rockies have dropped five of their last six games SU.
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