The Milwaukee Brewers will do battle against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-125) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+115). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Pirates +1.5 runs (-180) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+160).
The Brewers are 71-58 straight up (SU) and 66-63 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 9.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.3 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates are 63-65 SU and have gone 61-67 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in all seven of them.
Milwaukee games have a 60-65-4 over/under record in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 58-62-8.
Joe Musgrove will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Musgrove is 5-7 with a 3.31 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 5.87 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are handing the ball to lefty Wade Miley (2-2, 2.18 ERA), who has 29 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Miley is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 52 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.31.
The Milwaukee offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .300/.367/.488 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is hitting .314/.378/.532 with 21 home runs, 64 RBIs, 87 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .307 with nine homers, 32 RBIs, 65 runs and 24 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.12, along with a K-per-9 of 9.58.
Pirates hitters have slashed .253/.321/.409 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .304/.335/.476 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte (.271/.315/.457) is up to 17 homers, 57 RBIs, 63 runs and 28 steals.
The Pirates have lost 6.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 13.7 units and are 52-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 53 that went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Pittsburgh has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. Milwaukee has 17 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have hit three home runs in their last 10 games, including two over their last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.4 over its last five.
The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU.
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