The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to their NL Central nemesis Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing the action.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Pittsburgh (+145) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -150 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +130 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 72-74 SU and are 71-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.0 unit for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 85-63 SU and 76-71 ATS. The team has gained 17.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.3 units ATS.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 70-73-4 in 2018. Pittsburgh has been a decent under bet with a total record of 64-71-10.
Ivan Nova is getting the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Nova is 8-9 with a 4.17 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers will turn to righty Zach Davies (2-5, 4.75 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Davies has yet to face the Pirates this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, posting a 2-1 record with a 3.70 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 65 games against NL Central foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.15.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .255/.337/.404 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by Christian Yelich, who is slashing .314/.383/.554 with 29 home runs, 88 RBIs, 100 runs and 19 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.12, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 9.64.
Pirates hitters have slashed .254/.320/.407 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Starling Marte has sparked Pittsburgh’s offense and is hitting .272/.317/.450 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs, 74 runs and 31 stolen bases.
The Brewers are looking for another victory after a 7-4 win in the prior game of this series.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven outings.
The Pirates have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit nine over their last 10.
Pittsburgh fielders have six errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.
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