The Philadelphia Phillies will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup starts at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can catch it on both ATPT and NSPA.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Pittsburgh (+110) is hosting this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Pirates +1.5 runs (-190) and Phillies +-1.5 runs (+165).
The Phillies are 13-7 SU and 7-12 ATS. The team has gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 7.8 units against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Pirates are 12-9 SU and have gone 11-9 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 3.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.5 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 8-9-2 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 11-7-2.
The right-handed Trevor Williams will get the nod for Pittsburgh. Williams is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 4.76 ERA over five and two-third innings).
The Phillies are preparing to start righty Nick Pivetta (1-0, 2.49 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and two walks, as well as a 0.97 WHIP. Pivetta did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 3.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.02 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .241/.348/.323 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by left fielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Hoskins is slashing .328/.488/.639 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Hernandez is batting .278 with 20 hits, eight RBIs, 15 runs and five stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.73 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 6.77 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.43, along with a K/9 of 9.17.
Pirates hitters have slashed .252/.323/.411 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been led by right fielder Starling Marte and catcher Francisco Cervelli. Marte is slashing .278/.374/.494 with 22 hits, eight RBIs, 16 runs and six steals, while Cervelli is slashing .262/.361/.475 with 16 hits, two homers, 12 RBIs and seven runs scored.
Marte didn’t do as well hitting against righty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 128 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .250/.289/.317 (his total season line was .275/.333/.379).
The Pirates have gained 4.0 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 0.1 units and are 4-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Pirates have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit seven over their last 10.
Philadelphia has averaged 20.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
The Pirates have lost five of their last six games SU.
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