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Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals Free Pick 05/02/18

The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Pittsburgh (+180) is hosting this one as the underdog to Washington (-190) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Pirates +1.5 runs (-125) and Nationals +-1.5 runs (+105).

The Pirates are 17-13 SU and are 17-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.1 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 6.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Nationals are 14-16 SU and 13-16 ATS. They’ve lost 9.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Washington games have had an over/under record of 12-15-2 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 14-11-4.

Ivan Nova will get the start for the Pirates. Nova is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

The Nationals are turning to Stephen Strasburg (2-3, 3.63 ERA), who has 43 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.03 WHIP.

Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.43 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.85 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .263/.340/.468 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ batters have been led by Bryce Harper and Matt Adams. Harper is slashing .250/.459/.554 with nine home runs, 22 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Adams has produced a line of .296/.397/.630 with five homers, 13 RBIs and 10 runs.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.91 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 7.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.19.

Pirates hitters have slashed .257/.330/.414 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been powered by catcher Francisco Cervelli and outfielder Corey Dickerson. Cervelli is slashing .313/.394/.575 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Dickerson (.311/.354/.534) has produced four homers, 18 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Pirates have gained 3.5 units and are 14-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.9 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.

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