The Pittsburgh Pirates will head south to SunTrust Park to play the Atlanta Braves. This NL showdown starts at 7:35 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on either ATPT or FSSO.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves Odds
Pittsburgh (+105) is the underdog to Atlanta (-115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -200 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +170 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 74-59 straight up (SU) and 68-63 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 18.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, have gone 65-69 SU this year and are 64-69 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.4 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Braves games have a 61-65-5 over/under record in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 61-64-8.
Jameson Taillon will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Taillon is 10-9 with a 3.49 ERA and 139 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Anibal Sanchez (6-5, 3.05 ERA), who has 100 punchouts and 32 walks, as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Sanchez did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.321/.407 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .296/.326/.461 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte has a .277 average with 17 homers, 59 RBIs, 67 runs and 29 steals.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Atlanta offense has produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .289/.359/.405 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .311/.394/.512 with 20 home runs, 81 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Markakis has produced a line of .308/.371/.471 with 14 homers, 83 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 4.6 units and are 47-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 20.7 units and are 52-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 47 which went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Pittsburgh has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. Atlanta has 11 XBH over its last five.
Atlanta has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
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