The struggling Cincinnati Reds are trying to avoid losing their seventh straight game when they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on ATPT and FSOH.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+125) is the home-team underdog to Pittsburgh (-135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +110 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -130 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 88-71 against the spread (ATS), but only 66-94 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 14.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.9 units (ATS). The Pirates are 81-78 SU and have gone 77-81 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 13.2 units ATS.
Reds games have an over/under record of 76-78-5 in 2018. Pittsburgh has been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-79-10.
Jameson Taillon is getting the start for the Bucs. The right-handed Taillon (14-9, 3.16 ERA) has recorded 172 strikeouts in 185 innings so far. He’s 3-1 with 27 strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against Cincinnati this year (four starts).
The Reds are turning to righty Michael Lorenzen (3-2, 3.35 ERA), who has 52 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.39. Lorenzen is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.07, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.15 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 74 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.12.
Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.282/.341 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Jose Peraza has helped lead the Reds’ offense this year with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 85 runs and 23 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.08, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.46.
The Pirates offense has slashed .254/.320/.407 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been led by Starling Marte. Marte is slashing .276/.327/.453 with 19 home runs, 71 RBIs, 80 runs and 33 stolen bases.
The Pirates are coming off an 8-4 win in the prior game of this series.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
Pittsburgh fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to eight errors for Cincinnati over its last five.
The Reds have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
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