The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-120) is favored over Pittsburgh (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -190 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +165 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Pirates are 63-66 SU and have gone 61-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in all seven of them. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 72-58 SU and 66-63 ATS. The team’s gained 9.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 60-65-4 in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 58-62-8.
The right-handed Jameson Taillon will get the start for the visiting Bucs. Taillon is 9-9 with a 3.58 ERA and 131 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.81 ERA against Milwaukee this year (three starts).
The Brewers are sending righty Jhoulys Chacin (13-4, 3.58 ERA) to the mound. Chacin has 122 strikeouts and 55 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Chacin is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 1.53 ERA across three starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 53 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .298/.380/.461 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .311/.374/.533 with 22 home runs, 66 RBIs, 88 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Cain is hitting .308 with nine homers, 32 RBIs, 66 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.08, along with a K/9 of 9.59.
Pirates hitters have slashed .253/.321/.408 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is slashing .304/.334/.475 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte (.275/.321/.458) is up to 17 homers, 58 RBIs, 64 runs and 29 steals.
The Pirates have gained 3.9 units and are 45-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 36 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 13.7 units and are 52-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 40 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in zero of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Pirates have hit three home runs in their last 10 games, including two over their last five.
Pittsburgh has averaged 17.9 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.
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