The Pittsburgh Pirates will make a road trip to Citi Field to take on the New York Mets. SportsNet New York is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Pittsburgh (-115) as the favorite over New York (+105). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +130 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -150 for the Mets +1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 36-41 SU and are 33-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.6 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 31-44 SU and 31-42 ATS. The team has lost 14.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 31-40-2 so far in 2018. Pirates games have gone over 36 times, gone under 34 times and pushed on six occasions.
Jameson Taillon will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Taillon (4-6, 4.03 ERA) has recorded 78 strikeouts in 82.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Seth Lugo (2-2, 2.85 ERA), who has 59 strikeouts and 12 walks this season as well as a 1.04 WHIP. Lugo did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .282/.360/.453 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .274/.315/.476 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .245/.271/.361 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a K-per-9 of 9.46.
The Pirates offense has slashed .248/.321/.401 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have paced Pittsburgh’s offense. Dickerson is slashing .299/.335/.447 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Marte is hitting .273/.325/.458 with nine homers, 34 RBIs, 38 runs and 14 steals.
The Pirates have lost 2.3 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 9.7 units and are 21-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 27 which went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Pittsburgh has logged five extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 18 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
New York has posted 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
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