The ice-cold New York Mets will try to avoid losing their eighth consecutive game when they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York is in line to televise this NL showdown.
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Odds
New York (-120) is hosting this one as the favorite against Pittsburgh (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -190 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +165 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 31-45 straight up (SU) and 32-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.4 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Pirates have gone 37-41 SU this year and are 33-44 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.8 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 32-40-2 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 36-35-6.
Chad Kuhl will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Kuhl is 5-5 with a 4.56 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 10.38 ERA and three strikeouts over four and one-third innings).
The Mets are sending lefty Steven Matz (3-5, 3.68 ERA) to the mound. Matz has 63 strikeouts and 30 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Matz did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.76 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .250/.323/.420 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the way for the Mets’ batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .275/.317/.474 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs and 35 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .244 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 28 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.22 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 9.56.
The Pirates offense has slashed .247/.321/.401 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been fueled by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .296/.333/.442 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Marte (.272/.326/.455) is up to nine homers, 34 RBIs, 41 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Pirates have lost 4.3 units and are 6-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 9.7 units and are 21-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Pittsburgh has tallied six extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 16 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
New York has posted 25.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
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