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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview 04/19/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host Pennsylvania rival Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park. The game will start at 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on either ATPT or NSPA.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Pittsburgh (+100) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-110) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds stand at -210 for betting the Pirates +1.5 runs and +175 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 10-7 SU and 6-10 ATS. The team has gained 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Pirates have gone 12-6 SU this year and are 9-8 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 1.8 units ATS.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 7-8-1 so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 10-6-1.

Jameson Taillon will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Taillon is 2-0 with a 0.89 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across five innings).

The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Jake Arrieta (1-0, 3.38 ERA), who has six punchouts and four walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Arrieta made five starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-3 record in 2017, posting a 1-3 record with a 4.07 ERA and 23 strikeouts.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .240/.353/.351 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ offense has been led by Rhys Hoskins, who is hitting .327/.486/.577 with 17 hits, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 6.75 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.52, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

Pirates hitters have slashed .265/.338/.439 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been spearheaded by Starling Marte thus far, who is slashing .290/.388/.536 with 20 hits, seven RBIs, 16 runs and five stolen bases. He seemed to have a little trouble hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .250/.289/.317 across 128 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .275/.333/.379).

The Phillies are coming off of a 7-3 loss against the Braves, while the Pirates just got a 10-2 victory over the Rockies.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.

The Pirates have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit nine over their last 10.

Philadelphia has recorded 19.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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