The Golden State Warriors (12-7) go head-to-head against the Portland Trail Blazers (12-6) at ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
The Trail Blazers are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 7.5-point underdogs in their 143-100 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. The game’s total points (243) were well over the O/U total of 227. Milwaukee’s 30.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Portland, who had a mark of 17.9. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 23.6, while the Trail Blazers’ was below their season average of 26.4. Damian Lillard was Portland’s high scorer with 22 points on 5-for-12 shooting.
In the Warriors’ last outing, they got blown out by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 123-95. They failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (218) came in under the O/U total of 223.5. Oklahoma City’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Thunder had 18 offensive rebounds and 61 total rebounds, while the Warriors had seven and 42, respectively. Kevin Durant put together a good performance for Golden State, leading the team in scoring with 27 points on 11-for-22 shooting.
After the Trail Blazers won two out of three matchups against the Warriors last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, Portland won 125-108. The Trail Blazers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.1 vs. 15.8) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.584 vs. 0.564).
Portland holds records of 12-6 straight up (SU) and 11-7 against the spread (ATS). Of the Trail Blazers’ 18 games, 10 have finished over the total.
Golden State is 12-7 SU, but they have difficulty covering the spread (8-11 ATS). Unlike Portland, just over half of Warriors games have finished under the O/U total.
Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 16 points,13.4 rebounds,3.2 assists,1.6 blocks over the last five games for Portland.
Getting to the line might be few and far between for Golden State in this contest. The Warriors rank 13th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.205, while Portland ranks second in FTA rate allowed (0.163).
Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Portland is 4-5 ATS on the road with 6 overs and 3 unders.
Golden State is 6-4 ATS at home with 7 unders and 3 overs.
Golden State is 1-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 12-5 and the Warriors are 12-3.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.2) while Portland ranks 26th (20.5).
The Warriors rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (10.4).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Portland ranks 22nd (5.9).
The Trail Blazers rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Warriors rank 18th (17.6).
Portland ranks 10th in second chance points per game (14.5) while Golden State ranks 25th (11.8).
The Trail Blazers average 32.55555555555556 three pointers per game, which ranks 11 in the NBA. The Warriors rank 25 in three pointers allowed per game (35).
Portland ranks 2 in rebounds per game (50.44444444444444) while Golden State ranks 14 (45.473684210526315).
The Warriors rank 20 in steals per game (7.157894736842105) while the Trail Blazers rank 29 (6.111111111111111).
Portland ranks 23 in points in the paint per game (45) while Golden State ranks 28 (41.05263157894737).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Portland is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Golden State is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 10.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 4.0 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 98.4 points per game (17.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.8 points per game (1.3 below their season average).
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