The Golden State Warriors take on the visiting Portland Trail Blazers in Game of the Western Conference Semifinals at ORACLE Arena. The game begins at 10:30 pm ET on Tuesday, May 3 and will air on TNT.
The Warriors defeated the Trail Blazers 118-106 on Sunday. Golden State received a boost from Draymond Green, who finished with 23 points, 13 rebounds, and 11 assists. This gave him his 14th triple-double of the year.
Ball control could weigh heavily in this showdown. Portland commits the fifth-fewest errors in the league (turnover percentage of 14.1%), while Golden State’s disruptive defense forces the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.8%).
The Warriors come into this game 78-10 Straight Up (SU) and 48-37-3 Against The Spread (ATS). In their last 10 games, they are 3-7 ATS. The Warriors have no trouble scoring as they lead the league in offense with 114.7 points per game. Golden State is one of the most disciplined teams in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.96. Golden State’s defense can be considered one of the best in the league. The Warriors allow a .432 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the league. Golden State is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 17.4 points per game.
In the other locker room, the Trail Blazers head into the game with records of 47-42 ATS and 48-41 SU. Portland performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning an 8-2 record. The Trail Blazers average 104.1 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 95.2 points per game during that span.
The Warriors’ win over Portland in their last game brought their SU record to 8-2 over the Trail Blazers in the last 10 games. With an 8-2 record, the Warriors also have the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS
Notes
Portland has allowed an average of 106.5 points per away game this season. Golden State averages 116.0 points per home game, placing the team at the top of the NBA in scoring.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Golden State Warriors are a stellar 30-2. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Portland Trail Blazers have an underachieving record of 6-21.
The Warriors have a 48-8 record when they allow at least 100 points. The Trail Blazers have also performed well when they reach the century mark with a record of 42-20 in such games.
The Warriors have the top-ranked offense this season, averaging 112.8 points per 100 possessions. The Trail Blazers have one of the best defenses, allowing 106.0 points in the same number of possessions (ranked eighth).
The Golden State Warriors average 101.6 possessions and 1.128 points per possession in games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers average fewer possessions with 98.3, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.064.
Golden State is among the top-ranked teams based on its average effective field goal percentage of 56.2% (ranked first in the NBA). Portland is a subpar 1-16 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
Golden State averages 31.0 three point attempts per game, and Portland attempts 28.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Warriors have a dazzling 71-9 record while the Trail Blazers have a 39-28 record.
The Golden State Warriors average 6.1 blocks per game for a rank of fourth. The Portland Trail Blazers rank lower (19th), earning 4.6 blocks each game.
The Golden State Warriors rank 21st in offensive rebounding, while the Portland Trail Blazers rank eighth in defensive rebounding.
The Golden State Warriors earn an average of 8.4 steals per game and are ranked ninth. The Portland Trail Blazers have a 24-20 record when they allow at least 8 steals.
