The Golden State Warriors (80-11) will be at home when they square off against the Portland Trail Blazers (49-43) in Game of the Western Conference Semifinals. The game begins at 10:30 pm ET on Wednesday, May 11 and will air on TNT.
The Warriors were victorious over the Trail Blazers 132-125 on Monday. Stephen Curry was the game’s leading scorer with 40 points on 16-for-32 shooting.
Based on each team’s statistical profile, the turnover story could loom large in this showdown. Portland commits the fifth-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 14.1%), while Golden State’s ball-hawking defense causes the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.8%).
The Warriors have gone 80-11 Straight Up (SU) and 50-38-3 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 80-11 SU and 50-38-3 ATS versus the Western Conference. The Warriors have the most prolific offense in the entire league, averaging 114.7 points per game. Golden State is the most disciplined team in the league with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.96. Golden State’s defense can be considered one of the best in the league. The Warriors allow a .432 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the league. If its opponents turn the ball over, Golden State has shown that it knows how to capitalize. They average 17.4 points off turnovers, making them the fifth-best team in the league for that category.
As for their opponent, the Trail Blazers head into the game with records of 48-44 ATS and 49-43 SU. Portland has done particularly well ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 8-2. The Trail Blazers rank fifth in the league in scoring, averaging 105.0 points per game.
The Warriors’ win over Portland in their last game moved their SU record against Portland to 8-2 over the last 10 meetings. Furthermore, the Warriors lead the matchup ATS with a record of 8-2.
Predictions: SU Winner – GS
Notes
Portland gives up 106.5 points on the road this season. Topping the league in home scoring, Golden State scores 115.8 points on its own court.
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Warriors are 31-2 on the season. When the Trail Blazers score fewer than 100, they are a subpar 6-22.
The Warriors have a 49-9 record when they allow at least 100 points. The Trail Blazers have also performed well when they reach the century mark with a record of 43-21 in such games.
The Warriors have the top-ranked offense this season, averaging 112.8 points per 100 possessions. The Trail Blazers have one of the best defenses, allowing 106.3 points in the same number of possessions (ranked eighth).
The Golden State Warriors average 101.7 possessions and 1.128 points per possession in games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers average fewer possessions with 98.6, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.065.
The Portland Trail Blazers have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking 10th in the league with an EFF% of 50.8%. The Golden State Warriors have a stellar 21-7 record in games where opponents have a similar or higher EFF%.
On average, the Golden State Warriors attempt 31.0 three point field goals per game and the Portland Trail Blazers attempt 28.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Golden State has a tremendous 72-10 record, while Portland is 40-30.
Golden State makes an average of 6.1 blocks per game (ranked second), while Portland makes 4.6 blocks per game (ranked 19th).
The Golden State Warriors rank 20th in offensive rebounding, while the Portland Trail Blazers rank seventh in defensive rebounding.
The Golden State Warriors earn an average of 8.4 steals per game and are ranked ninth. The Portland Trail Blazers have a 24-21 record when they allow at least 8 steals.
