The San Antonio Spurs (10-12) meet the Portland Trail Blazers (13-9) at the AT&T Center. The game is scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 2, 2018.
San Antonio is a 1-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 217 points.
Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
In the Trail Blazers’ last contest, they were 2-point favorites and lost to the Denver Nuggets, 113-112. The game’s total points (225) finished over the projected point total of 214. Denver’s 10.1 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Portland, who had a rate of 12.9. The Nuggets’ mark was better than their season average of 12.0. CJ McCollum was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 14-for-21 shooting.
The Spurs got blown out by the Houston Rockets in their last matchup, 136-105. They failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. The game’s total points (241) were well over the projected point total of 216. Houston’s 4.5 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 12.1. The Rockets’ mark was better than their season average of 12.7. With 20 points on 7-for-16 shooting, LaMarcus Aldridge was San Antonio’s high scorer.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Damian Lillard scored a game-high 29 points in the first matchup, in which the Trail Blazers beat the Spurs 121-108, covering as 5-point favorites. He also recorded 9 assists. The game finished with a total of 229 points, which was 15 points above the projected point total of 214 points. Portland did a great job of converting from the free throw line (16-19; 84.2 percent). San Antonio, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (5.3 vs. 11.5).
Portland heads into the game with records of 13-9 straight up (SU) and 11-11 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Trail Blazers are involved, as 13 of their 22 games have gone over the total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 10-12 SU and 10-12 ATS. Games including the Spurs also have typically finished over the projected point total (59.1 percent).
San Antonio should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. San Antonio ranks second in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent), while Portland forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.4 percent).
Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Portland is 4-6 ATS with 7 overs and 3 unders.
At home, San Antonio is 5-5 ATS with 6 overs and 4 unders.
In contests where they allow less than 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and San Antonio is 4-1.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 13-7 and the Spurs are 9-7.
San Antonio ranks sixth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Portland ranks 25th (6.0).
The Trail Blazers rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while the Spurs rank 29th (24.8).
Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (49.8) while San Antonio ranks 16th (44.9).
The Spurs rank 17th in assists per game (23.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (20.5).
Portland ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (45.8) while San Antonio ranks 26th (42.5).
The Trail Blazers rank 4 in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.954545454545455) while the Spurs rank 9 (15.727272727272727).
San Antonio averages 13.590909090909092 second chance points per game, which ranks 14 in the NBA. Portland ranks 18 in second chance points allowed per game (13.772727272727273).
The Trail Blazers are 26 in the NBA with 10.227272727272727 fast break points per game while the Spurs are 29 with 8.863636363636363 fast break points per game.
Portland ranks 27 in steals per game (6.181818181818182) while San Antonio ranks 29 (5.863636363636363).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Portland is 0-5 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 14.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 1.9 points.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 108.4 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 121.2 points per game (9.2 above their season average).
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