The Purdue Boilermakers and Michigan State Spartans will square off on the grass at Spartan Stadium. This crucial afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
In this Saturday Big Ten game, Michigan State is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Boilermakers are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Spartans are -140. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 49 points. There should be some good live betting scenarios in this game.
With the game’s O/U initially placed at 51, the the early action has apparently swayed toward the under.
The Boilermakers have lost 3.0 units so far in 2018 and are 5-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 4-3. The Spartans have lost 2.0 units this season. The team is 2-5 ATS and also has an O/U record of 4-3.
The Boilermakers are 4-3 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Spartans are 4-3 SU overall and are also 2-2 SU in conference play.
The Boilermakers want to keep things rolling after a 49-20 victory over Ohio State last week. David Blough completed 25 passes for 378 yards and three touchdowns. D.J. Knox (128 rushing yards on 16 attempts, three TDs) led the running attack. Rondale Moore (12 receptions, 170 yards, two TDs) and Jared Sparks (three catches, 43 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
One week ago, Michigan took care of this Michigan State team by a score of 21-7. Brian Lewerke completed five-of-25 passes for 66 yards. LJ Scott (25 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the running game while Darrell Stewart Jr. (two receptions, 24 yards) and Connor Heyward (one catch, eight yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Purdue has run the ball on 46.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan State has a rush percentage of 48.3 percent. The Boilermakers have produced 177 rush yards/game (including 195 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Spartans are putting up 108 rushing yards per game (91 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Boilermakers should hold an edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts, as their offensive line has allowed only 33 sacks while the D-line logged 29 sacks. The Spartans, on the other hand, have allowed 21 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 27 times.
The Boilermakers offense has tallied a ridiculous 338 yards/contest through the air overall (340 per game versus conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Spartans have produced 244 pass yards per game (230.5 in the Big 10) and have nine total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Purdue has allowed 137 rush yards and 296 pass yards per game. The Michigan State defense has given up 275.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 79.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Boilermakers have given up an ANY/A of 5.68 to opposing QBs, while the Spartans are yielding an ANY/A of 5.61.
Offensively, Blough is up to 1,696 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 128-of-194 attempts with 10 passing scores and only one interception. He’s got a pristine 8.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.64 over the last two games.
D.J. Knox (518 rushing yards, eight rush TDs, 56 receiving yards on the year), Rondale Moore (627 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) and Isaac Zico (322 receiving yards, one TD) have each played key roles of late.
For the home team, Brian Lewerke has connected on 116-of-198 passes for 1,394 yards, six TDs and six INTs. Lewerke’s ANY/A sits at 5.41 for the year and 3.56 over his past two outings.
Felton Davis III (474 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns on the year), Connor Heyward (150 rush yards, three rush TDs) and Cam Chambers (102 receiving yards) have combined for 250 total yards and two touchdowns over the past couple of games.
These two Big 10 foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2017.
RELATED: Week 9 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free NCAA Betting Tip: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans
SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.
The Purdue defense has 18 sacks on the year while Michigan State has 16.
Purdue has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.3 over its last two.
Michigan State has averaged 2.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.3 over its last two.
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