The Purdue Boilermakers (9-5, 2-1 Big 10) visit No. 8 Michigan State to play the Spartans (13-2, 4-0 Big 10) in a game that has the potential to be high-scoring. The game can be seen on ESPN2 at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 8, 2019.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans Free Prediction
In the Boilermakers’ last outing, they thoroughly outplayed the Fairfield Stags, 90-57. The Boilermakers had a much better free throw rate (0.203 vs. 0.083) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.0 vs. 25.0). Purdue received a boost from Carsen Edwards, who was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 10-for-17 shooting.
The Spartans fell to the No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks in their last matchup, 92-87. Kansas’ 11.6 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Michigan State, who had a rate of 19.5. With 17 points and 11 rebounds, Michigan State’s Kenny Goins had a solid performance.
After the Spartans won the sole game against the Boilermakers last season, 68-65, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. Michigan State had a better effective field goal percentage (0.533 vs. 0.453). Purdue, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (4.2 vs. 8.7).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Ryan Cline (0 points) has been stellar for the Boilermakers while Cassius Winston (0 points) has contributed greatly to the Spartans.
This contest figures to be a shootout as two of the nation’s best offenses clash. Michigan State ranks fourth with 120.5 points per 100 possessions and Purdue is 18th (116.8). Ball protection should be an advantage for the Boilermakers. They rank 50th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.6 percent). Conversely, the Spartans force the first-fewest turnovers in the NCAA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.3 percent).
Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Michigan State, ATS Winner – Michigan State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Michigan State ranks fourth in rebounds per game (43.8) while Purdue ranks 146th (36.0).
The Boilermakers rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (28.8) while the Spartans rank 152nd (22.1).
Michigan State ranks second in assists per game (21.3) while Purdue ranks 97th in assists allowed per game (12.6).
The Boilermakers rank 12th in steals allowed per game (4.7) while the Spartans rank 89th (6.3).
Michigan State ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.6) while Purdue ranks 74th (3.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Boilermakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.8, up from 10.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 92.2 points per game (5.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
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